Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables

Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables

  • M. Clements
Publisher:SpringerISBN 13: 9780230596146ISBN 10: 0230596142

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Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables is written by M. Clements and published by Springer. It's available with International Standard Book Number or ISBN identification 0230596142 (ISBN 10) and 9780230596146 (ISBN 13).

Financial econometrics is one of the greatest on-going success stories of recent decades, as it has become one of the most active areas of research in econometrics. In this book, Michael Clements presents a clear and logical explanation of the key concepts and ideas of forecasts of economic and financial variables. He shows that forecasts of the single most likely outcome of an economic and financial variable are of limited value. Forecasts that provide more information on the expected likely ranges of outcomes are more relevant. This book provides a comprehensive treatment of the evaluation of different types of forecasts and draws out the parallels between the different approaches. It describes the methods of evaluating these more complex forecasts which provide a fuller description of the range of possible future outcomes.